
Image: VeriCtory editorial visualisation (AI-generated; illustrative, not a documentary photograph).
01Climate outlook
A stronger El Niño is moving from forecast to a readiness test.
WMO’s latest seasonal update projects a stronger El Niño through the September–November period, with unusually high agreement among forecast systems and a possible peak later in the year. The value of that signal is not certainty about every local impact; it is time. Water managers, public-health teams, food systems and infrastructure operators can use the outlook now to stress-test plans for heat, rainfall extremes and shifting seasonal conditions. A forecast becomes resilience only when it changes a decision before the consequences arrive.






